Showing posts with label Anticipatory Prowess. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Anticipatory Prowess. Show all posts
Wednesday, May 7, 2014
THE ABILITY TO ANTICIPATE THE FUTURE PROVIDES THE BIGGEST COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE
Interestingly, author-filmmaker-futurist Joel Arthur Barker, has exhorted this line of thought as far back as the 80's, when he wrote his magnum opus, "Discovering the Future: The Business of Paradigms".
In fact, he highlighted two other important forward-thinking aspects: the quest for excellence and the pursuit of innovation.
That was my nascent entry into future studies.
Thursday, May 1, 2014
HOW TO STAY ON TOP OF EMERGING TRENDS
Just like to share a beautiful and elegant article on building
one's anticipatory prowess, as it touches on the brass tacks of execution.
'How to Stay on top of Emerging Trends'
by Jorge Barba, who calls himself, a global Innovation Insurgent.
To me, it is much better written - I mean, less abstract - than what technology futurist Daniel Burrus has written earlier, touching in similar vein in his article, "The New Principle of Leadership'.
'How to Stay on top of Emerging Trends'
by Jorge Barba, who calls himself, a global Innovation Insurgent.
To me, it is much better written - I mean, less abstract - than what technology futurist Daniel Burrus has written earlier, touching in similar vein in his article, "The New Principle of Leadership'.
BEING AGILE OR STAYING PROACTIVE IS NO LONGER ENOUGH...
I like what I am reading:
~ technology futurist Daniel Burrus;
You may want to read his latest article:
"... Being agile or staying proactive is no longer enough in an increasingly competitive global business environment.
In a world that’s moving at an unprecedented rate, it takes something more:
– the ability to take a sudden burst of insight about the future and use it to produce a new and radically different way of doing things – solving problems, crafting must-have products, creating high-demand services or building new businesses... "
~ technology futurist Daniel Burrus;
You may want to read his latest article:
'The New Principles of Leadership'
Interestingly, he takes his perennial favourite topics, cyclical vs linear, hard trends vs soft trends, for a new spin to convince businessfolks to focus more on building anticipatory prowess as a leadership imperative, instead of harbouring on agility.
Wednesday, March 21, 2012
WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM A SCOUT-SNIPER?
I had probably watched the thriller movie, 'Shooter', on DVD more than half a dozen times.
In fact, I had watched it again a few weeks ago.
The exciting story centred on how a retired US Marine scout-sniper, Bob (played by Mark Wahlberg) was hook-winked and double-crossed by a high-powered rogue group led by an enigmatic Colonel Johnson (played by Danny Glover), in collusion with a mysterious senator in deep cover within the US government establishment, to take on a seemingly patriotic assignment, with the objective of flushing out a known assassination attempt on the US President.
At the end, he escaped and eventually tracked down and neutralised all the bad guys, with the unlikely aid of a disgraced FBI agent, Nick (played by Michael Pena).
Naturally, as in most Hollywood movie productions, a beautiful woman also got dragged into the web of intrigue, serving unfortunately more as eye candy.
Several years ago, I had also watched the thriller movie on cable television in Singapore, 'Sniper', followed by its two subsequent sequels, 'Sniper 2' and 'Sniper 3'. Tom Berenger had played the US Marine sniper veteran featured in all the three movies.
Well, for me, I always hold the view that reel life reflects real life, and vice versa. That's why whenever I sit down to watch a movie, I always make it a point to mine and extract my learning experience from the movie beyond the entertainment perspective.
I have read that real-world snipers actually work in team of two, as depicted in the movie, 'Shooter'.
What actually fascinates most is the skills repertoire of the scout-sniper, which comprises:
- the mental skills, especially the ability to think ahead (I call it "anticipatory prowess", as depicted by Bob in the movie), and to look at the situation critically;
- the patience to wait for the perfect opportunity to fire upon a selected target;
- the ability to "neutralise" environmental distractions; and, more importantly,;
- the ability to manage the countless mathematical variables in the head, about wind speed, wind direction, range, target movement, mirage, light source, barometric pressure, temperature and even the earth's rotation (that's why he works with a spotter in a sniper team);
- the physical discipline and survival skills;
- the observation, reconnaissance and surveillance skills, especially the ability to catch the slightest "unnatural disturbances" in the environment around them;
- the camouflage skills, to avoid detection and staying alive;
- the stalking and infiltration skills, including stealth adeptness as well as the ability to adapt and improvise with whatever resources at hand;
on top of the clever marksmanship with tactical weapons and a precise understanding of ballistics.
Interestingly, I read that marksmanship accounts for only 10% to 20% of their overall skills repertoire.
The skill and the power of observation are rated very highly.
While digging through the net for information on scout-sniper training, I found the following interesting games as part of their observational skills training, known as the KIMS game:
It goes something like this.
A number of different objects are placed randomly on the table: a bullet, a paper clip, a bottle top, a pen, a piece of paper with something written on it.
They may be 10 to 20 items.
Trainees are given a minute or so to look at everything on the table.
Then, they have to go back to their desks & describe what they saw.
They are not allowed to say "paper clip" or "bullet".
They have to say, like, "silver, metal wire, bent in two oval shapes."
In other words, the training requires you to observe the objects more closely or critically.
The foregoing game is repeated with more objects to look at and with less time to look at them.
To add to the challenge, the time between seeing the objects and describing what is seen gets longer as the scout-sniper training goes on.
By the end, they may see 25 objects in the morning, train whole day, and then at night be asked to write down descriptions of all the things they saw in the morning.
Another observation skills training happens in the field with a sniper scope.
What they are required to do is to scope out random but hidden objects in a field.
For me, this intense observational practice is intriguing.
Now, I can understand how all these observation training manoeuvres eventually help the scout-sniper to function superbly with stalking, infiltration, and reconnaissance manoeuvres in the field under dicey circumstances.
I reckon the same acute observational skills of a scout-sniper can also readily apply in the skills repertoire of today's business professional, except for the "one-shot, one-kill" score.
To be able to spot opportunities, a business professional today must exercise active and intense observational skills in novel situations as well as in ordinary encounters, besides a substantial dosage of personal creativity and a broad network of contacts.
Thursday, May 26, 2011
THE BRAIN'S POWERS OF THIN SLICING
My favourite "mentor" in the United States, strategy consultant Dudley Lynch , also author of the classic, 'Strategy of the Dolphin', among other excellent works, wrote an interesting blog piece about the brain's powers of thin slicing. Here's the link.
One particular segment of his writing caught my attention, especially from my deep interest in understanding - and developing - anticipatory prowess:
"... Boiled to a few words, it says that when everything is happening at once, the brain defaults to what it feels is most right (that’s the “gestalt” part).
It really doesn’t even have to think about it; in fact, it usually doesn’t.
If you want it to do something else... make tactical decisions... then you better spend a lot of time upfront explicitly teaching the brain about what to look for and what to do when it finds it (that’s the “feature intensive” part)... "
drawing his inspiration from the book, 'Processing Under Pressure: Stress, Memory and Decision-Making in Law Enforcement', by Dr. Matthew J. Sharps, a psychology professor at California State University, who has made a career of studying the actions of people who must make split-second, life-and-death-affecting decisions. In the book, he offers his G/FI (Gestalt/Feature Intensive) Processing Theory. Sounds like a good book to read!
In a nut shell, as I have understood from him, anticipatory prowess is also a learned behaviour.
Thank you, my friend.
One particular segment of his writing caught my attention, especially from my deep interest in understanding - and developing - anticipatory prowess:
"... Boiled to a few words, it says that when everything is happening at once, the brain defaults to what it feels is most right (that’s the “gestalt” part).
It really doesn’t even have to think about it; in fact, it usually doesn’t.
If you want it to do something else... make tactical decisions... then you better spend a lot of time upfront explicitly teaching the brain about what to look for and what to do when it finds it (that’s the “feature intensive” part)... "
drawing his inspiration from the book, 'Processing Under Pressure: Stress, Memory and Decision-Making in Law Enforcement', by Dr. Matthew J. Sharps, a psychology professor at California State University, who has made a career of studying the actions of people who must make split-second, life-and-death-affecting decisions. In the book, he offers his G/FI (Gestalt/Feature Intensive) Processing Theory. Sounds like a good book to read!
In a nut shell, as I have understood from him, anticipatory prowess is also a learned behaviour.
Thank you, my friend.
Saturday, October 16, 2010
DEVELOPING ANTICIPATORY PROWESS
"... Like just about every other leadership capability, anticipatory prowess is a skill that can be developed and strengthened. You do it by:
~ listening to the mavericks and the complainers (without unnecessarily energizing them);
~ being insatiably curious and asking "horizon" questions;
~ harvesting the knowledge of departing intellectual capital;
~ probing the minds of key users and influencers;
~ always testing, challenging and experimenting with your "antennae" raised."
~ Jim Murray, CEO of Optimal Solutions International, a company that specializes in helping organizations reach their full potential;
[Here's the link to the original article, 'Understanding Risk: A Core Competency of Leaders', by Jim Murray, from which the above statement has been extracted by me.]
What Jim talks about resonates very well with what innovation strategist Wayne Burkan has advocated in the latter's book, 'Wide Angle Vision: Beat Your Competition by Focusing on Fringe Competitors, Lost Customers, and Rogue Employees', during the mid-nineties.
~ listening to the mavericks and the complainers (without unnecessarily energizing them);
~ being insatiably curious and asking "horizon" questions;
~ harvesting the knowledge of departing intellectual capital;
~ probing the minds of key users and influencers;
~ always testing, challenging and experimenting with your "antennae" raised."
~ Jim Murray, CEO of Optimal Solutions International, a company that specializes in helping organizations reach their full potential;
[Here's the link to the original article, 'Understanding Risk: A Core Competency of Leaders', by Jim Murray, from which the above statement has been extracted by me.]
What Jim talks about resonates very well with what innovation strategist Wayne Burkan has advocated in the latter's book, 'Wide Angle Vision: Beat Your Competition by Focusing on Fringe Competitors, Lost Customers, and Rogue Employees', during the mid-nineties.
Saturday, March 7, 2009
A PRESCRIPTION TO ELIMINATE NEGATIVITY
Pair up with a friend and stand facing him with your arm extended to the side. Make it firm so that it is not easily moved. Tell him to visualise a spot behind him.Whilst concentrating on this spot, he is to walk briskly towards your arm. His body moves ahead, whilst his mind stays behind.
Repeat this exercise with the same person, with one variation. This time, tell him to visualise a spot just beyond your arm.
Whilst concentrating on this spot, he is to now move towards your arm. His body and mind have been moving ahead. Note any difference?
You will notice that there is much more power when the body and the mind move ahead, at the same time, in the same direction.
The change in performance happens not from what he does, but from the way the mind affects what he does. This is true for everyone.
Knowing this secret, apply it to whatever you wish to achieve in life! Think ahead to move ahead!"
Forward March! Mind Ahead!
[Excerpted from the 'Thinkerbelles' edition of the InGenius subscription series of bookazines fro parents & kids by Dilip Mukerjea. All the images in this post are the intellectual property of Dilip Mukerjea.]
Say Keng's personal comments:
Most of us go through our daily lives with a lot of thoughts in our minds.
According to Dr Deepak Chopra, we think about 60,000 to 80,000 thoughts on a daily basis (as shown on his corporate website, 'The Chopra Centre').
Isn't that amazing? Most astonishing is that about 95% of these thoughts are previous thoughts, again from Dr Chopra.
I have read that many psychologists believe that as much as 80% of our thoughts are of the negative category.
The problem is that our minds always follow the direction of our current dominant thoughts.
Therefore, to create a better fit between us & the world, it is imperative that we think of empowering thoughts, & more precisely, future-oriented thoughts.
That's to say, we should focus & concentrate on those thoughts that can propel us forward to attain the dreams we so ardently desire.
In fact, I reckon change strategist/futurist Joel Arthur Barker, who wrote 'Future Edge', puts it very beautifully:
"It is the future where our greatest leverage is. We can't change the past, although, if we are smart, we learn from it. Things happen in only one place - the present, & usually we react to those events. The 'space' of time in the present is too slim to allow for much more. It is in the yet-to-be the future, & only there, where we have the time to prepare for the present."
[I recommend reading my earlier post, entitled 'Games People Play in their Heads', in the 'Optimum Performance Technologies' weblog.]
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